| Date | 25 Mar 2026 |
| Tracker | European Airspace Violations |
| Type | Strike |
| Location |
Narva, Estonia
59.38, 28.18 (approximate) |
A drone arriving from Russian airspace struck a chimney of the Auvere power plant near Narva in Estonia, while a second, also from Russia, came down in Latvia. Both occurred on the day Ukrainian forces mounted a large drone attack on the Russian oil export hub of Ust-Luga on the Baltic. The machines are assessed to have been deflected or actively redirected by Russian GPS jamming — the mechanism behind most of the Ukrainian-attributed incidents in this log. Estonian officials described it at the time as a stray Ukrainian drone. Prosecutors closed the criminal investigation on 23 October 2026: the drone was too badly destroyed to establish its origin from the fragments, and the Internal Security Service found no sign of deliberate action against Estonia.
| Date | Type | Incident |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Incursion | Five balloons found along Poland eastern border |
| 23 Mar 2026 | Incursion | Ukrainian drone crashes into frozen lake in Lithuania |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Strike | Russian drone detonates four kilometres inside Romania |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Incursion | Drones violate Finnish airspace, two crash near Kouvola |
Moldova's defense ministry counted 19 airspace violations in October, and GlobalMilitary.net's incident log, which records only established incursions, holds 31 Moldovan entries for 2026 against Romania's 32, most of them since August.
GlobalMilitary.net's 2026 inventory snapshot shows nine NATO members — Iceland, Luxembourg, the three Baltic states, Montenegro, Albania, North Macedonia and Slovenia — hold no fixed-wing fighters, attack aircraft or bombers and depend on Allied air policing.
GlobalMilitary.net's incident log counts 45 established violations of European airspace between January 1 and August 16, 2026, against 31 for the whole of 2025 - and almost all of the growth sits in incidents that ended with a shootdown or an explosion on the ground.
An Italian Eurofighter on NATO Baltic Air Policing duty destroyed an unidentified drone over eastern Latvia before dawn on 14 August, the second time the alliance's quick-reaction force has shot one down over the country this year.