A drone arriving from Russian airspace struck a chimney of the Auvere power plant near Narva in Estonia, while a second, also from Russia, came down in Latvia. Both occurred on the day Ukrainian forces mounted a large drone attack on the Russian oil export hub of Ust-Luga on the Baltic. The machines are assessed to have been deflected or actively redirected by Russian GPS jamming — the mechanism behind most of the Ukrainian-attributed incidents in this log.
GlobalMilitary.net's 2026 inventory snapshot shows nine NATO members — Iceland, Luxembourg, the three Baltic states, Montenegro, Albania, North Macedonia and Slovenia — hold no fixed-wing fighters, attack aircraft or bombers and depend on Allied air policing.
GlobalMilitary.net's incident log counts 45 established violations of European airspace between January 1 and August 16, 2026, against 31 for the whole of 2025 - and almost all of the growth sits in incidents that ended with a shootdown or an explosion on the ground.
An Italian Eurofighter on NATO Baltic Air Policing duty destroyed an unidentified drone over eastern Latvia before dawn on 14 August, the second time the alliance's quick-reaction force has shot one down over the country this year.