| Date | 23 Oct 2025 |
| Tracker | European Airspace Violations |
| Type | Incursion |
A Russian Su-30 fighter and an Il-78 aerial refuelling tanker that had taken off from Kaliningrad briefly entered Lithuanian airspace. Spanish Eurofighters on the Baltic Air Policing mission launched to patrol the area. The Kaliningrad exclave borders Lithuania and Poland, and traffic between it and mainland Russia routes past or through the Baltic states' airspace, which makes navigation errors and deliberate probing hard to tell apart.
| Date | Type | Incident |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2025 | Incursion | Smuggling balloons from Belarus shut Vilnius airport |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Interception | Drone shot down over US Army base at Camp Reedo |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Incursion | Drones overfly Kleine Brogel air base and cross into the Netherlands |
| 11 Nov 2025 | Incursion | Russian drone crashes in Romania during strikes on Izmail |
GlobalMilitary.net's 2026 inventory snapshot shows nine NATO members — Iceland, Luxembourg, the three Baltic states, Montenegro, Albania, North Macedonia and Slovenia — hold no fixed-wing fighters, attack aircraft or bombers and depend on Allied air policing.
GlobalMilitary.net's incident log counts 45 established violations of European airspace between January 1 and August 16, 2026, against 31 for the whole of 2025 - and almost all of the growth sits in incidents that ended with a shootdown or an explosion on the ground.
An Italian Eurofighter on NATO Baltic Air Policing duty destroyed an unidentified drone over eastern Latvia before dawn on 14 August, the second time the alliance's quick-reaction force has shot one down over the country this year.