A drone entered Lithuania from Belarus near Druskininkai shortly after midnight on 11 November 2026 and flew north over the Marijampolė, Kaunas and Panevėžys regions before leaving near Pasvalys, Lithuania's National Crisis Management Centre said. NATO air policing fighters identified it over Kaunas, where the Defence Staff said debris risk ruled out a shot, and made two unsuccessful attempts to destroy it; one missile missed and its remains were recovered in Biržai district. Latvia then issued air-threat warnings, and the Defence Staff said the drone crossed Estonia into Russia. Lithuania's defence minister called it most likely a Ukrainian drone diverted from an attack on Ust-Luga; the Defence Staff said its origin was unconfirmed.
Moldova's defense ministry counted 19 airspace violations in October, and GlobalMilitary.net's incident log, which records only established incursions, holds 31 Moldovan entries for 2026 against Romania's 32, most of them since August.
GlobalMilitary.net's 2026 inventory snapshot shows nine NATO members — Iceland, Luxembourg, the three Baltic states, Montenegro, Albania, North Macedonia and Slovenia — hold no fixed-wing fighters, attack aircraft or bombers and depend on Allied air policing.
GlobalMilitary.net's incident log counts 45 established violations of European airspace between January 1 and August 16, 2026, against 31 for the whole of 2025 - and almost all of the growth sits in incidents that ended with a shootdown or an explosion on the ground.
An Italian Eurofighter on NATO Baltic Air Policing duty destroyed an unidentified drone over eastern Latvia before dawn on 14 August, the second time the alliance's quick-reaction force has shot one down over the country this year.