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China stages Strait Thunder-2025A drills with live fire and closest carrier approach to Taiwan

Incident Report

Fact Sheet
Date1 Apr 2025
TrackerChina-Taiwan Tensions
TypeExercise
Location Taiwan Strait
23.57, 119.58 (approximate)
What Happened

The PLA launched unnamed joint drills around Taiwan on April 1, 2025, followed on April 2 by the named Strait Thunder-2025A exercise in the central and southern Taiwan Strait, including live-fire long-range rocket artillery strikes on simulated port and energy targets. Taiwan detected 76 aircraft in the first 24 hours, 37 crossing the median line, while the Shandong carrier group manoeuvred within about 24 nautical miles of Taiwan's coast, its closest recorded approach. Beijing framed the drills as a warning to President Lai.

Measured Footprint
Series That day Prior 30-day avg Week after vs before
ADIZ aircraft 37 +266% 10.1 +100% (57 → 114)
Aircraft detected 76 +443% 14.0 +141% (79 → 190)
PLAN ships 15 +97% 7.6 +18% (62 → 73)
Gov ships 4 +300% 1.0 +200% (5 → 15)
Daily figures from Taiwan Ministry of National Defense around April 1, 2025; the day's value is compared with the trailing 30-day average. Week comparisons are shown only when the series covers both full weeks.
Taiwan Strait
Taiwan Strait
Marker placed at sea area precision.

Activity Around the Incident

PLA aircraft in Taiwan's ADIZ, two weeks either side
March 18, 2025 — 6 aircraft Mar 18 March 19, 2025 — 20 aircraft March 20, 2025 — 13 aircraft March 21, 2025 — 41 aircraft 41 March 22, 2025 — 11 aircraft Mar 22 March 23, 2025 — 7 aircraft March 24, 2025 — 20 aircraft March 25, 2025 — 25 aircraft March 26, 2025 — 12 aircraft Mar 26 March 27, 2025 — 20 aircraft March 28, 2025 — 0 aircraft March 29, 2025 — 0 aircraft March 30, 2025 — 0 aircraft Mar 30 March 31, 2025 — 0 aircraft April 1, 2025 — 37 aircraft (incident day) 37 Apr 1 April 2, 2025 — 31 aircraft April 3, 2025 — 15 aircraft Apr 3 April 4, 2025 — 9 aircraft April 5, 2025 — 5 aircraft April 6, 2025 — 2 aircraft April 7, 2025 — 15 aircraft Apr 7 April 8, 2025 — 18 aircraft April 9, 2025 — 9 aircraft April 10, 2025 — 2 aircraft April 11, 2025 — 19 aircraft Apr 11 April 12, 2025 — 0 aircraft April 13, 2025 — 2 aircraft April 14, 2025 — 6 aircraft April 15, 2025 — 11 aircraft Apr 15
Daily counts from Taiwan Ministry of National Defense; the highlighted bar is the incident day, April 1, 2025.

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